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Red49
428522.6
680812.5
741411.3
Blue39
8169.6
540114.8
4236.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40260102030506070804939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.4
16.117.5
Auto9.1
Teleop12.5
End1.1
red by 7.8
5401
#22
14.81.6
11.212.8
Auto8.3
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Second
6808
#19
12.51.4
8.710.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
red by 2.9
816
#20
9.61.6
7.18.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Third
7414
#14
11.31.4
9.611.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End0.5
red by 5.1
423
#24
6.31.6
6.68.2
Auto1.2
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed