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Red39
680812.5
2514.9
25599.9
Blue58
622613.7
741411.3
139114.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38411020305060703958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#17
14.90.4
14.114.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End1.3
red by 0.2
1391
#25
14.70.8
12.613.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Second
6808
#19
12.50.4
10.110.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
blue by 1.2
6226
#16
13.70.8
13.013.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Third
2559
#30
9.90.4
10.811.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 1.4
7414
#14
11.30.8
11.011.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed