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Red53
363715.3
42714.3
428522.6
Blue52
22348.4
589530.8
4336.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4844102030406070805352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.0
17.518.6
Auto9.1
Teleop12.5
End1.1
blue by 8.2
30.81.2
25.026.2
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End2.6
Second
3637
#13
15.31.0
13.914.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
red by 6.9
2234
#33
8.41.2
6.17.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End1.8
Third
427
#10
14.31.0
11.712.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.5
End0.7
red by 8.4
433
#23
6.01.3
9.210.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed