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Red76
140320.3
253930.9
42714.3
Blue25
54079.6
139114.7
518117.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6645204060801007625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.4
25.425.8
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End3.7
red by 13.9
5181
#11
17.01.8
19.117.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End0.8
Second
20.30.4
18.719.2
Auto4.1
Teleop15.2
End1.0
red by 5.6
1391
#25
14.71.9
13.411.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Third
427
#10
14.30.4
12.713.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.5
End0.7
red by 4.7
5407
#21
9.61.8
10.78.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed