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Red46
70813.5
568420.6
518117.0
Blue33
42714.3
3035.3
741411.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623202040801004633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.5
20.620.0
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End2.2
red by 6.3
427
#10
14.30.1
13.012.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Second
5181
#11
17.00.5
17.316.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End0.8
red by 5.7
7414
#14
11.30.1
12.912.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End0.5
Third
708
#15
13.50.6
14.513.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.6
red by 8.2
303
#32
5.30.1
6.26.1
Auto0.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed