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Red56
22348.4
34129.7
54079.6
Blue84
589530.8
2514.9
253930.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4283020601001205684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#3
29.71.0
27.028.0
Auto10.9
Teleop16.7
End2.2
blue by 1.2
30.90.3
27.928.2
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End3.7
Second
5407
#21
9.60.9
9.09.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End0.2
blue by 21.2
30.80.3
27.627.9
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End2.6
Third
2234
#33
8.40.9
6.87.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End1.8
blue by 6.5
25
#17
14.90.3
14.514.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed