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Red55
22348.4
2514.9
259023.6
Blue59
363715.3
8169.6
589530.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48572040801005559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.7
22.323.1
Auto9.8
Teleop11.8
End1.9
blue by 7.2
30.80.6
27.928.5
Auto13.6
Teleop14.6
End2.6
Second
25
#17
14.90.7
14.915.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End1.3
blue by 0.3
3637
#13
15.30.6
13.814.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
Third
2234
#33
8.40.7
7.78.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End1.8
blue by 1.2
816
#20
9.60.6
9.19.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed