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Red70
25599.9
540114.8
260726.1
Blue61
24585.5
518117.0
253930.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48562040807061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.11.9
24.426.2
Auto8.3
Teleop15.0
End2.8
blue by 4.8
30.90.4
28.228.7
Auto9.9
Teleop17.3
End3.7
Second
5401
#22
14.81.9
12.114.0
Auto8.3
Teleop4.6
End1.9
blue by 2.2
5181
#11
17.00.4
16.817.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End0.8
Third
2559
#30
9.91.9
8.09.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
red by 4.4
2458
#29
5.50.4
5.05.5
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed