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Red58
116825.1
24585.5
108914.9
Blue21
680812.5
70913.9
22348.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3830102050605821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.12.2
13.315.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End-0.0
red by 11.1
709
#12
13.90.8
10.09.2
Auto7.3
Teleop5.4
End1.3
Second
1089
#18
14.92.2
11.814.0
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.7
red by 2.4
6808
#19
12.50.8
10.29.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End2.5
Third
2458
#29
5.52.2
8.711.0
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 2.9
2234
#33
8.40.8
8.27.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed