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Red52
42714.3
363715.3
540114.8
Blue43
108914.9
741411.3
2514.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48450204060801005243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#13
15.30.2
14.915.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
red by 0.3
25
#17
14.90.1
15.014.9
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End1.3
Second
5401
#22
14.80.2
14.414.6
Auto8.3
Teleop4.6
End1.9
Level
1089
#18
14.90.1
15.014.9
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.7
Third
427
#10
14.30.2
13.914.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.5
End0.7
red by 3.0
7414
#14
11.30.1
11.411.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End0.5