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Red53
568420.6
428522.6
3035.3
Blue53
518117.0
139114.7
260726.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5466204060801001205353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.0
23.223.2
Auto9.1
Teleop12.5
End1.1
blue by 3.5
26.10.3
26.225.9
Auto8.3
Teleop15.0
End2.8
Second
20.60.0
21.221.2
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End2.2
red by 3.6
5181
#11
17.00.3
17.216.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.6
End0.8
Third
303
#32
5.30.0
5.85.8
Auto0.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 9.4
1391
#25
14.70.4
14.914.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.8
End1.2