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Red44
70913.6
181122.9
24588.4
Blue59
511311.3
872111.0
253933.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42542060801004459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#15
22.90.3
19.019.3
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End2.6
blue by 10.5
33.40.8
29.930.7
Auto11.7
Teleop17.1
End4.6
Second
709
#14
13.60.3
15.816.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
red by 2.3
5113
#18
11.30.8
10.611.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0
Third
2458
#13
8.40.3
4.44.8
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End2.1
blue by 2.6
8721
#12
11.00.8
7.07.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed