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Red29
87045.5
249524.7
511311.3
Blue64
518123.3
54079.7
116830.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3960020801001202964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.7
20.519.8
Auto9.2
Teleop13.4
End2.1
blue by 5.5
30.20.8
25.125.9
Auto13.1
Teleop17.7
End-0.5
Second
5113
#18
11.30.6
10.29.6
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 12.0
23.30.8
17.017.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Third
8704
#29
5.50.6
7.36.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0
blue by 4.2
5407
#22
9.70.8
9.610.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed