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Red57
139122.9
70913.6
437312.2
Blue72
181122.9
253933.4
511311.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567002040801001201405772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.3
18.618.9
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4
blue by 10.5
33.40.7
30.731.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.1
End4.6
Second
709
#14
13.60.3
16.116.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
blue by 9.3
1811
#15
22.90.7
19.320.0
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End2.6
Third
4373
#23
12.20.5
17.918.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
red by 0.9
5113
#18
11.30.7
11.412.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsMissed