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Red49
87045.5
116830.2
872111.0
Blue89
34134.6
518123.3
434220.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4183020601001204989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.5
27.327.8
Auto13.1
Teleop17.7
End-0.5
blue by 4.4
341
#2
34.60.4
32.031.6
Auto14.4
Teleop17.8
End2.5
Second
8721
#12
11.00.5
9.09.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End0.5
blue by 12.3
23.30.4
19.819.4
Auto7.7
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Third
8704
#29
5.50.5
5.86.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0
blue by 15.2
4342
#17
20.70.4
18.117.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed