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Red61
54079.7
121824.0
139122.9
Blue46
680816.5
24588.4
437312.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6038020801006146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.3
21.221.5
Auto10.7
Teleop11.1
End2.2
red by 7.5
6808
#19
16.50.2
14.114.3
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Second
22.90.3
18.919.2
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4
red by 10.8
4373
#23
12.20.4
18.418.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
Third
5407
#22
9.70.3
11.611.8
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.1
red by 1.3
2458
#13
8.40.2
4.85.1
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed