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Red62
94169.9
568424.0
511311.3
Blue12
7526.2
87045.5
70913.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52310204060801006212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#10
24.00.9
21.122.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.3
End2.3
red by 10.4
709
#14
13.61.3
16.515.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
Second
5113
#18
11.30.9
12.413.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0
red by 5.1
752
#28
6.21.3
8.06.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End-0.1
Third
9416
#25
9.91.5
11.112.6
Auto5.9
Teleop3.1
End0.9
red by 4.4
8704
#29
5.51.3
6.25.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed