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Red62
437312.2
253933.4
54079.7
Blue57
36521.3
909425.1
87045.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7154204060801006257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.3
31.631.2
Auto11.7
Teleop17.1
End4.6
red by 8.3
25.10.4
24.725.0
Auto12.6
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Second
4373
#23
12.20.6
18.818.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
blue by 9.1
365
#11
21.30.4
21.622.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Third
5407
#22
9.70.3
11.811.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End1.1
red by 4.2
8704
#29
5.50.4
5.05.4
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed