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Red72
260729.3
7526.2
181122.9
Blue45
437312.2
81612.3
34134.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65714060801001207245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.2
31.832.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End2.8
blue by 5.3
341
#2
34.61.4
33.532.1
Auto14.4
Teleop17.8
End2.5
Second
1811
#15
22.90.2
20.821.0
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End2.6
red by 10.6
816
#26
12.31.4
11.810.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.7
End0.2
Third
752
#28
6.20.2
6.87.0
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End-0.1
blue by 6.0
4373
#23
12.22.1
18.216.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed