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Red52
87045.5
181122.9
680816.5
Blue54
872111.0
909425.1
7526.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45482030406070805254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#15
22.90.6
20.921.5
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End2.6
blue by 2.2
25.10.7
25.626.4
Auto12.6
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Second
6808
#19
16.50.6
15.015.6
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.5
red by 5.5
8721
#12
11.00.7
11.712.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Third
8704
#29
5.50.6
5.35.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End0.0
blue by 0.7
752
#28
6.20.7
5.86.5
Auto3.7
Teleop2.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed