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Red71
249524.7
70913.6
34134.6
Blue87
434220.7
46378.2
139122.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85472040601001207187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#2
34.60.4
33.432.9
Auto14.4
Teleop17.8
End2.5
red by 11.7
22.92.7
20.222.9
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4
Second
24.70.4
24.223.7
Auto9.2
Teleop13.4
End2.1
red by 4.0
4342
#17
20.72.7
19.221.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End1.3
Third
709
#14
13.60.4
14.814.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.8
red by 5.5
4637
#21
8.22.7
7.410.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed