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Red47
36521.3
511311.3
680816.5
Blue106
909425.1
139122.9
260729.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456920608010012047106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#11
21.30.1
21.621.5
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 8.0
29.32.1
25.928.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End2.8
Second
6808
#19
16.50.1
12.312.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 8.6
25.12.1
19.421.5
Auto12.6
Teleop10.9
End1.6
Third
5113
#18
11.30.1
9.69.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 11.6
22.92.1
14.316.4
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned