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Red53
909425.1
46378.2
260729.3
Blue79
181122.9
249524.7
20413.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71654060801001205379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.2
29.529.3
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End2.8
red by 4.6
24.70.4
24.324.7
Auto9.2
Teleop13.4
End2.1
Second
25.10.2
25.325.1
Auto12.6
Teleop10.9
End1.6
red by 2.2
1811
#15
22.90.4
22.522.9
Auto10.0
Teleop10.3
End2.6
Third
4637
#21
8.20.2
8.48.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End0.1
blue by 5.0
204
#27
13.10.4
12.713.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.1
End2.1