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Red91
944617.7
189927.4
198325.2
Blue89
413120.1
366340.4
263513.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796520401001201401609189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1899
#13
27.41.4
26.528.0
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End1.4
blue by 13.0
3663
#21
40.41.6
35.437.0
Auto14.8
Teleop21.9
End3.7
Second
1983
#46
25.21.4
26.427.8
Auto9.1
Teleop13.8
End2.2
red by 5.0
4131
#45
20.11.6
15.316.9
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
9446
#44
17.71.4
16.518.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End1.0
red by 4.4
2635
#48
13.31.6
9.411.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed