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Red35
413120.1
292823.6
412524.9
Blue117
292629.3
445029.3
177841.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions599320408010012014035117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#34
24.91.5
20.719.2
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End1.5
blue by 16.5
41.42.3
35.637.9
Auto13.1
Teleop24.9
End3.4
Second
2928
#41
23.61.5
20.318.8
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End1.6
blue by 5.8
2926
#23
29.32.3
22.825.2
Auto13.1
Teleop15.2
End1.0
Third
4131
#45
20.11.5
16.815.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 9.2
4450
#11
29.32.3
21.623.9
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed