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Red52
944617.7
943020.3
131834.6
Blue91
803221.3
321825.2
189927.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757550607080901005291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.1
32.030.9
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End4.5
red by 7.2
1899
#13
27.40.1
30.029.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.3
End1.4
Second
9430
#28
20.31.1
20.018.9
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End2.9
blue by 5.0
3218
#37
25.20.1
20.720.6
Auto5.7
Teleop18.1
End1.4
Third
9446
#44
17.71.1
16.015.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End1.0
blue by 3.6
8032
#27
21.30.1
16.716.6
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned