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Red60
49230.2
943020.3
241220.2
Blue85
582727.4
644335.8
382616.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688402040601001201401606085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#26
30.20.3
27.727.5
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End2.1
blue by 5.6
6443
#29
35.80.7
26.026.7
Auto12.6
Teleop22.2
End1.0
Second
9430
#28
20.30.3
18.918.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End2.9
blue by 7.2
5827
#16
27.40.7
31.632.3
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End2.8
Third
2412
#43
20.20.3
17.217.0
Auto10.2
Teleop9.8
End0.2
red by 3.4
3826
#49
16.80.7
16.817.5
Auto7.2
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed