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Red72
241220.2
644335.8
634320.4
Blue81
154030.8
371215.0
131834.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6790204060801001201407281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#29
35.80.6
27.628.2
Auto12.6
Teleop22.2
End1.0
red by 1.2
34.60.5
33.332.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End4.5
Second
6343
#35
20.40.6
17.317.8
Auto5.6
Teleop12.6
End2.3
blue by 10.4
1540
#18
30.80.5
31.030.5
Auto9.5
Teleop17.4
End3.8
Third
2412
#43
20.20.6
18.419.0
Auto10.2
Teleop9.8
End0.2
red by 5.2
3712
#25
15.00.5
14.113.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsEarned