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Red106
902330.0
36033.1
404340.9
Blue89
803221.3
412524.9
582727.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10677406012014016010689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.9
37.338.2
Auto14.4
Teleop23.2
End3.3
red by 13.5
5827
#16
27.41.1
33.234.2
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End2.8
Second
360
#24
33.10.9
28.929.8
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End4.2
red by 8.2
4125
#34
24.91.1
22.423.5
Auto7.7
Teleop15.7
End1.5
Third
30.00.9
26.127.1
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End2.0
red by 8.7
8032
#27
21.31.1
17.418.5
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed