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Red117
49230.2
367427.3
944236.2
Blue95
177841.4
129432.0
281139.7
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9312040608010014016018011795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#15
36.21.3
35.236.5
Auto11.7
Teleop23.3
End1.2
blue by 5.2
41.40.7
41.140.4
Auto13.1
Teleop24.9
End3.4
Second
492
#26
30.21.3
28.529.8
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End2.1
blue by 9.5
39.70.7
36.335.6
Auto11.9
Teleop21.4
End6.5
Third
3674
#20
27.31.3
23.524.8
Auto8.6
Teleop16.9
End1.7
blue by 4.7
1294
#38
32.00.7
27.827.1
Auto11.9
Teleop18.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned72%Ensemble oddsMissed