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Red108
448827.3
177841.4
252142.8
Blue70
293032.5
582727.4
154030.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010805015020025010870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.1
41.841.9
Auto13.2
Teleop26.5
End3.1
red by 10.3
2930
#10
32.51.9
35.833.8
Auto11.8
Teleop17.8
End2.9
Second
41.40.1
39.639.6
Auto13.1
Teleop24.9
End3.4
red by 10.6
1540
#18
30.81.9
30.528.6
Auto9.5
Teleop17.4
End3.8
Third
4488
#36
27.30.1
25.725.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End3.2
blue by 0.2
5827
#16
27.41.9
32.830.8
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsEarned46%Ensemble oddsEarned