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Red115
142525.0
204641.6
131834.6
Blue92
902330.0
944236.2
292823.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1099240608010012014016018011592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.61.2
41.242.5
Auto14.1
Teleop23.8
End3.7
red by 5.4
9442
#15
36.20.5
36.637.0
Auto11.7
Teleop23.3
End1.2
Second
34.61.2
31.732.9
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End4.5
red by 4.6
30.00.5
27.127.6
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End2.0
Third
1425
#30
25.01.2
23.624.8
Auto9.9
Teleop9.8
End5.3
red by 1.4
2928
#41
23.60.5
21.521.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
92%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed