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Red101
291045.9
204641.6
903628.9
Blue112
445029.3
36033.1
366340.4
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610750150200101112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#12
45.90.4
47.346.9
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End1.7
red by 5.5
3663
#21
40.40.3
39.539.2
Auto14.8
Teleop21.9
End3.7
Second
41.60.4
43.042.6
Auto14.1
Teleop23.8
End3.7
red by 8.5
360
#24
33.10.3
32.231.9
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End4.2
Third
9036
#22
28.90.4
29.428.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End3.6
blue by 0.3
4450
#11
29.30.3
28.328.0
Auto7.1
Teleop20.6
End1.6