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Red123
291045.9
582727.4
204641.6
Blue112
129432.0
293032.5
902330.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359950150200123112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#12
45.90.1
46.947.0
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End1.7
red by 13.4
2930
#10
32.50.3
32.232.5
Auto11.8
Teleop17.8
End2.9
Second
41.60.1
42.642.7
Auto14.1
Teleop23.8
End3.7
red by 9.6
1294
#38
32.00.3
31.732.0
Auto11.9
Teleop18.7
End1.3
Third
5827
#16
27.40.1
28.428.5
Auto7.2
Teleop17.4
End2.8
blue by 2.6
30.00.3
29.730.0
Auto10.9
Teleop17.0
End2.0