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Red50
552819.2
399621.4
355010.9
Blue83
495214.7
760523.2
399024.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557002040801001201405083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End1.5
blue by 2.9
24.40.2
24.224.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.5
End1.6
Second
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto10.0
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 4.0
23.20.2
23.123.2
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Third
3550
#20
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End0.5
blue by 3.9
4952
#25
14.70.2
14.614.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End2.3