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Red51
82246.2
962418.2
760523.2
Blue56
35337.6
398619.3
561814.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35371020304050605156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.22.0
13.915.9
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End2.1
red by 3.9
3986
#11
19.31.4
13.414.8
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Second
9624
#19
18.22.0
10.912.9
Auto6.6
Teleop10.2
End1.5
red by 3.5
14.71.4
11.713.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Third
8224
#38
6.22.0
8.210.2
Auto1.5
Teleop3.5
End1.2
blue by 1.3
3533
#22
7.61.4
6.68.0
Auto4.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed