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Red16
262614.4
35337.6
39857.0
Blue70
543921.4
54408.1
813216.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32331020405060701670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2626
#18
14.41.6
12.611.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 7.0
21.42.9
11.914.8
Auto9.8
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Second
3533
#22
7.61.6
8.06.4
Auto4.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 8.9
8132
#13
16.52.9
8.611.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Third
3985
#35
7.01.6
9.88.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.5
End0.2
blue by 1.0
5440
#32
8.12.9
8.311.2
Auto1.8
Teleop4.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned