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Red54
399621.4
923414.9
90763.6
Blue61
354417.0
82246.2
336013.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37400501001502005461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.3
16.116.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End1.5
red by 4.4
17.00.5
12.511.9
Auto7.6
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Second
9234
#16
14.90.3
13.113.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End1.3
red by 1.0
13.90.5
14.714.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End1.3
Third
9076
#34
3.60.3
4.85.1
Auto1.1
Teleop1.6
End1.0
blue by 2.7
8224
#38
6.20.5
8.78.2
Auto1.5
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed