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Red55
813216.5
962418.2
495214.7
Blue30
68696.0
82246.2
591017.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423101020506070805530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9624
#19
18.20.9
14.815.7
Auto6.6
Teleop10.2
End1.5
red by 1.2
5910
#21
17.00.6
13.312.8
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Second
8132
#13
16.50.9
11.612.5
Auto6.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
red by 10.3
8224
#38
6.20.6
8.27.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Third
4952
#25
14.70.9
10.411.3
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End2.3
red by 8.7
6869
#27
6.00.6
7.57.0
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed