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Red22
747110.1
90763.6
495214.7
Blue35
398619.3
940620.7
35326.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234504060802235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4952
#25
14.70.6
11.310.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End2.3
blue by 6.0
9406
#10
20.70.3
15.114.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.4
End1.5
Second
7471
#31
10.10.6
8.27.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.9
End2.9
blue by 9.2
3986
#11
19.30.3
16.616.2
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Third
9076
#34
3.60.6
3.63.1
Auto1.1
Teleop1.6
End1.0
blue by 2.4
3532
#36
6.00.3
6.35.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed