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Red33
561814.7
68729.0
262614.4
Blue41
49557.5
760523.2
39857.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363801020305060703341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.70.0
12.512.5
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
blue by 8.5
23.20.4
20.019.6
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Second
2626
#18
14.40.0
13.513.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 7.0
4955
#37
7.50.4
7.97.5
Auto1.8
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Third
6872
#39
9.00.0
7.07.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End0.4
red by 2.0
3985
#35
7.00.4
6.76.3
Auto2.3
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned