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Red59
35326.0
96237.0
760523.2
Blue46
82246.2
923414.9
552819.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35431020305060705946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.7
19.620.3
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End2.1
red by 4.0
19.20.4
17.517.9
Auto10.0
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Second
9623
#24
7.00.7
6.87.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.3
blue by 7.9
9234
#16
14.90.4
13.914.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End1.3
Third
3532
#36
6.00.7
5.96.7
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 0.2
8224
#38
6.20.4
6.36.7
Auto1.5
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed