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Red35
962418.2
311710.8
2966.8
Blue16
494722.2
49557.5
65401.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3937203050603516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9624
#19
18.20.5
15.815.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.2
End1.5
blue by 3.9
22.22.0
24.022.0
Auto9.9
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
3117
#26
10.80.5
11.310.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.5
red by 3.4
4955
#37
7.52.0
7.55.5
Auto1.8
Teleop3.8
End1.9
Third
296
#29
6.80.5
7.97.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
red by 5.5
6540
#40
1.22.0
2.20.2
Auto0.6
Teleop0.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed