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Red71
760523.2
495214.7
561814.7
Blue27
96237.0
813216.5
910211.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54360204060807127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.22.5
20.322.8
Auto11.8
Teleop9.3
End2.1
red by 6.7
8132
#13
16.50.8
16.115.4
Auto6.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Second
4952
#25
14.72.5
11.914.5
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End2.3
red by 3.6
9102
#33
11.20.8
10.79.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End1.2
Third
14.72.7
14.417.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
red by 7.7
9623
#24
7.00.8
7.56.8
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed