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Red44
262614.4
35326.0
54408.1
Blue56
398619.3
2966.8
494722.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31540204060801004456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2626
#18
14.40.9
13.314.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 7.8
22.21.0
22.023.0
Auto9.9
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
5440
#32
8.10.9
10.711.5
Auto1.8
Teleop4.0
End2.3
blue by 11.2
3986
#11
19.31.1
16.817.9
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Third
3532
#36
6.00.9
6.77.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End2.1
blue by 0.8
296
#29
6.81.0
7.38.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed