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Red41
770011.6
910211.2
552819.2
Blue50
399024.4
813216.5
35337.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060801004150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.5
17.518.0
Auto10.0
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 5.2
24.40.6
21.622.2
Auto9.3
Teleop13.5
End1.6
Second
7700
#28
11.60.5
8.89.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.4
End1.5
blue by 4.9
8132
#13
16.50.6
15.416.0
Auto6.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Third
9102
#33
11.20.5
9.910.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.8
End1.2
red by 3.6
3533
#22
7.60.6
6.97.5
Auto4.5
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed