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Red63
591017.0
815214.6
923414.9
Blue39
662210.5
65401.2
262614.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49250204060806339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5910
#21
17.00.6
14.715.3
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.9
red by 2.6
2626
#18
14.40.4
14.114.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.0
Second
9234
#16
14.90.6
14.314.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End1.3
red by 4.4
6622
#23
10.50.4
10.911.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Third
8152
#12
14.60.7
12.513.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End1.2
red by 13.3
6540
#40
1.20.4
0.20.6
Auto0.6
Teleop0.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned