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Red55
355010.9
591017.0
262614.4
Blue33
82246.2
544310.9
806715.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493701020306070805533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5910
#21
17.00.7
15.314.6
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.9
red by 1.9
8067
#14
15.10.7
16.215.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End1.7
Second
2626
#18
14.40.7
14.513.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 3.5
5443
#30
10.90.6
10.910.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Third
3550
#20
10.90.7
13.512.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End0.5
red by 4.6
8224
#38
6.20.6
7.87.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed