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Red52
923414.9
813216.5
398619.3
Blue33
355010.9
495214.7
543921.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55563540455060655233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#11
19.30.2
19.319.5
Auto8.1
Teleop9.5
End1.7
blue by 2.1
21.41.8
21.920.0
Auto9.8
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Second
8132
#13
16.50.2
16.116.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
red by 1.8
4952
#25
14.71.8
15.814.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End2.3
Third
9234
#16
14.90.2
14.714.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End1.3
red by 4.0
3550
#20
10.91.8
12.710.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed