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Red42
311710.8
49557.5
692919.1
Blue51
561814.7
354417.0
591017.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37522060804251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6929
#15
19.10.5
18.619.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.5
End1.3
red by 2.1
5910
#21
17.00.5
14.615.0
Auto8.1
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Second
3117
#26
10.80.4
10.611.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 6.1
17.00.5
16.517.0
Auto7.6
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Third
4955
#37
7.50.5
6.36.8
Auto1.8
Teleop3.8
End1.9
blue by 7.2
14.70.5
14.014.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed